Quality Road rebounds to win Woodward Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

09/04/2010 - Saratoga Springs, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Odds-on favorite Quality Road shook loose at the head of stretch Saturday to win the $750,000 Woodward Stakes at Saratoga Race Course. It was the colt's fourth win in five starts this year.

The colt, trained by Todd Pletcher, was coming off a narrow defeat four weeks ago to Blame in the Whitney Handicap. He was 1-4 in the morning-line and went off as the 3-10 pick in the seven horse field. More than $800,000 was wagered on Quality Road to show.

Ridden again by John Velazquez, the four-year-old broke sharply from the gate along with Arcodoro. David Cohen and Arcodoro took the lead entering the clubhouse turn followed closely by Quality Road. Mythical Power was racing third and Mine That Bird was close up in fourth.

Quality Road assumed the lead around the far turn as Mythical Power advanced on the outside into second. Mine That Bird, 2009 Kentucky Derby winner, began to tire.

Coming out of the final turn Quality Road opened up from his competition and was never challenged down the stretch. The colt hit the wire 4 3/4-lengths in front of second-place finisher Mythical Power.

Tranquil Manner finished third followed by Convocation, Indian Dance, Arcodoro and Mine That Bird. Ramon Dominguez replaced Kent Desormeaux as the jockey on Indian Dance. Desormeaux suffered an injury Friday at Saratoga when his horse broke down during the second race.

Quality Road covered the 1 1/8-miles in 1:50 on a fast track.

Quality Road returned $2.60, $2.10 and $2.10. Mythical Power paid $5.90 and $4.40, and Tranquil Manner paid $4.80 to show.

Owned by Edward Evans, Quality Road adds $450,000 to his lifetime earnings which now total more than $2.2 million. In his career the colt has won eight of 12 starts. This year his bankroll amounts to $1,260,000.

Before his loss in the Whitney, Quality Road had won three straight stakes to begin the year, the Hal's Hope Stakes, Donn Handicap and Met Mile.

In 2009 Quality Road won the Fountain of Youth Stakes, Florida Derby and Amsterdam Stakes. He was third in last year's Travers and second to Travers champ Summer Bird in the Jockey Club Gold Cup. He had to be scratched at the gate in the Breeders' Cup Classic when he became excitable when being loaded.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
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